Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 19.285713 21.796225 24.452656 27.467023 30.786604 34.324700 38.374762
2024-12-22 15.253067 18.613384 22.393627 26.939262 32.233565 38.181281 45.343438
2024-12-29 13.111720 17.144483 21.935118 27.993872 35.395678 44.085015 54.993118
2025-01-05 11.012496 15.392060 20.872009 28.137574 37.411669 48.740135 63.497170
2025-01-12 8.898447 13.296273 19.089504 27.131182 37.835203 51.407975 69.705583
2025-01-19 7.199123 11.487775 17.426940 26.040667 37.966446 53.620331 75.395368
2025-01-26 6.508450 10.984154 17.449369 27.173429 41.076823 59.842891 86.608248
2025-02-02 6.254876 11.080136 18.306651 29.514997 45.976899 68.714151 101.814064
2025-02-09 5.766921 10.737182 18.459784 30.813621 49.449208 75.779623 114.884703
2025-02-16 5.101633 10.009229 17.932472 31.016903 51.298413 80.617263 125.040022
2025-02-23 4.388493 9.093982 16.998028 30.481256 51.961751 83.731326 132.830479
2025-03-02 3.810611 8.329468 16.216355 30.093271 52.780031 87.057564 141.014889
2025-03-09 3.415157 7.859839 15.906484 30.484296 54.899506 92.524870 152.760900
2025-03-16 2.977834 7.241797 15.266378 30.255403 55.994777 96.473505 162.402757
2025-03-23 2.811869 7.146850 15.559826 31.655558 59.837406 104.855714 179.152191
2025-03-30 2.528432 6.759540 15.262338 31.973454 61.871750 110.464017 191.828993
2025-04-06 2.134825 6.061273 14.282763 30.954905 61.535345 112.227352 198.516613
2025-04-13 1.785822 5.397859 13.287153 29.801758 60.859312 113.363430 204.202561
2025-04-20 1.700264 5.356939 13.568047 31.114109 64.645772 122.048125 222.393115
2025-04-27 1.730095 5.612380 14.500446 33.766432 70.995049 135.277303 248.445763
2025-05-04 1.659483 5.594643 14.835128 35.240964 75.241421 145.080410 269.152175
2025-05-11 1.504206 5.322276 14.575231 35.482713 77.192503 151.007169 283.593776
2025-05-18 1.311601 4.907369 13.941784 34.892381 77.520280 154.106341 293.363227